Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 15.940046 18.157932 20.705751 23.879710 27.771239 32.445255 38.574648
2025-05-25 12.885490 15.569994 18.928902 23.539322 29.868447 38.519313 51.752759
2025-06-01 11.222967 14.087424 17.879349 23.444144 31.736234 44.256437 66.020339
2025-06-08 9.872408 12.731279 16.672568 22.751148 32.399854 48.187435 78.816434
2025-06-15 9.023153 11.914179 16.045648 22.711572 33.938088 53.805027 96.980479
2025-06-22 8.071358 10.829359 14.868867 21.595001 33.413907 55.581019 108.222314
2025-06-29 7.259603 9.863524 13.752348 20.393603 32.476236 56.274520 117.368376
2025-07-06 6.662955 9.162232 12.965254 19.622004 32.157137 58.104244 130.435639
2025-07-13 6.790627 9.565350 13.950425 22.026524 38.386528 76.174495 204.204485
2025-07-20 6.589828 9.431720 14.038232 22.822786 41.559814 88.499247 274.771673
2025-07-27 6.168896 8.909563 13.416827 22.187423 41.474557 92.251974 315.682078
2025-08-03 6.018951 8.816315 13.522364 22.977955 44.824884 107.324479 438.513898
2025-08-10 5.691632 8.418767 13.079951 22.660474 45.602213 115.456534 546.347678
2025-08-17 5.394976 8.053494 12.665827 22.353559 46.371984 124.217748 690.399889
2025-08-24 5.156445 7.769853 12.374037 22.264660 47.703158 135.969841 917.633883
2025-08-31 4.870067 7.384212 11.859187 21.619321 47.361983 141.086564 1106.863213
2025-09-07 4.681972 7.158808 11.628915 21.582450 48.766064 154.760909 1539.967388
2025-09-14 4.392942 6.738102 10.992766 20.541469 46.971470 152.850179 1684.871477
2025-09-21 4.115204 6.324828 10.347040 19.419798 44.750686 148.031552 1749.703830
2025-09-28 3.901114 6.016295 9.888528 18.698498 43.663062 148.610089 1994.629893
2025-10-05 4.016162 6.307567 10.632300 20.943946 52.682739 212.354954 7465.666697
2025-10-12 3.966192 6.291814 10.756023 21.686057 56.993007 255.825815 22884.789336
2025-10-19 3.795786 6.042012 10.378755 21.093961 56.296545 262.834957 37329.995429